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Retail Sales Bounce as Expected; How Much Longer Can Subprime Auto Sales Lead?

MishTalk

Retail sales bounced 1.2% Auto sales were known to be strong ahead of the report, likely steering economists in the right direction. The consumer showed a lot of life in May, driving up retail sales 1.2 A leading component in the month was motor vehicle sales which jumped 2.0 Ex-auto sales are up 1.0%

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Wholesale Trade: Sales Down, Inventories Up; GDP Estimate Revised Lower Again; Sticking With Recession Call

MishTalk

The US Commerce Department Monthly Wholesales Report for January 2015 shows sales are down while inventories continue to rise. Wholesale Trade Sales Sales down 3.1% from the revised December level Sales for December revised lower by 0.5% Sales down 1.0% from December Sales of nondurable goods were down 4.6%

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Strong Economy – Strong Buy-Sell Market

Martinka Consulting

Record number of small business sales in 2018! 70% of medium sized companies will change hands (2008). PriceWaterhouseCoopers – Two-thirds of companies with sales of $5,000,000 to $50,000,000 will change hands in the next 10 years (2011). Axial – 66% of businesses with employees are owned by baby boomers (2015).

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Consulting or Banking

Tom Spencer

Within an investment bank, the work is split into many roles including investment banking, sales and trading, equity research, risk management, operations, and technology. People in the “sales and trading” division buy and sell financial products. Sales people communicate with investors to sell financial products.

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Canada in Recession with Two Consecutive Quarters of Negative Growth

MishTalk

The figures are the weakest since the 2008 global financial crisis. On January 21, 2015 I wrote Canadian Recession Coming Up: Yield Curve Inverts Following Unexpected Rate Cut; Loonie at Six-Year Low. On January 31, I wrote Canada in Recession, US Will Follow in 2015. According to Statistics Canada, the economy contracted 0.5

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Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

UPS Freight , the fifth-largest LTL, reported tonnage off 10 percent (matching the record decline reported in the 2009 3Q during the depth of the Great Recession) and shipments down 5 percent year over year (the worst drop since 2008 fourth quarter). Overoptimism 2008-2010 The SEP growth forecast for 2008 never turned negative.

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Japan Near Stagnation Following 9 Months of Growth

MishTalk

Anecdotal evidence indicated that increased production, and expansions in sales teams, had compensated for strategic reductions in payroll numbers. Recall that prime minister Shinzo Abe wants taxes to double the sales tax rate from 5% to 10% by 2015 which will further decrease demand. December 2008 (85). August 2008 (93).