article thumbnail

Balance Sheet Reduction Starts October: Like “Watching Paint Dry”

MishTalk

As expected the Fed will begin balance sheet reduction in October. The Fed penned in one more rate hike in December as its FOMC statement shows the hurricanes will have no lasting effect on anything. more…). Economics

article thumbnail

Ignore the Balance Sheet at Your Own Risk

Martinka Consulting

He told me something that’s stuck with me when he said how as an operator he was concerned with the profit and loss statement but as a deal person he found an appreciation for the balance sheet and its importance. The balance sheet tends to get overlooked by many businesspeople, sellers, and buyers, which is a shame. The balance sheet is filled with information, some of which is: How does the company manage its cash flow and what level of working capital is needed?

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation?

MishTalk

Balanced Budget Ammendment Sign the Balanced Budget Petition. Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation? Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market. The risk premiums of risky securities have become unsustainably compressed in the process, and the Feds balance sheet has metastasized to $3.5 The Fed would probably show an insolvent balance sheet today if its holdings were actually marked-to-market. MISHS.

article thumbnail

Diving Into Deutsche Bank’s “Passion to Perform” Balance Sheet

MishTalk

Deutsche Bank shares have collapsed to lows deep under crisis lows and collapse of Lehman in the Great Financial Crisis. … Continue reading → Economics

article thumbnail

Fed Balance Sheet Unwinding Expected “Relatively Soon”: Let the Debate Begin

MishTalk

In addition to its standard boilerplate about inflation, the Fed stated it would begin balance sheet normalization “relatively soon” Here is the full Text of the FOMC Press Release. As expected, today’s FOMC meeting came with zero surprises. more…). Economics

article thumbnail

Fed Lays Out Plan to S L O W L Y Reduce Balance Sheet: How Long Will It Take?

MishTalk

Balance sheet reduction hasn’t started yet, nor did the Fed even say when it would start. Once balance sheet reduction starts, the cap will be $10 billion a month rising to $50 billion a month, on a schedule not posted. In addition to hiking today, the Fed announced its Plan to Shrink Asset Holdings Beginning This Year. Since the Fed will announce the start date in advance, its eye would appear to be focused on December.

article thumbnail

Fed Openly Discusses "Permanently High Balance Sheet"; Lie Finally Admitted

MishTalk

Merits of Not Shrinking the Balloon When the Fed first launched QE, they stated they had the "tools" necessary to shrink their ballooning balance sheet. Once the Federal Reserve lifts interest rates from near zero, likely this week, the focus will turn to the other legacy of the crisis-era policies: the Fed's swollen balance sheet. A " permanently higher balance sheet.

article thumbnail

Fed Minutes Show Reliance on Consumer Confidence, Sentiment, Soft Data: Balance Sheet Normalization Schedule Set (It Won’t Be Met)

MishTalk

The Fed also firmed up its Balance Sheet Normalization Plans. The Fed released the Minutes of June 13-14 FOMC meeting today. The minutes show an overreliance on regional report soft data and consumer confidence measures instead of hard data measures. more…). Economics

article thumbnail

Financial Engineering Chart of the Day: Fed Balance Sheet vs. S&P 500

MishTalk

Fed Balance Sheet vs. S&P 500 I was playing around with some ideas on the St Louis Fed "Fred" database and came up with this. Mike "Mish" Shedlock Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.

article thumbnail

Central Bank Balance Sheets: What Will They Look Like in 2016-2017?

MishTalk

Central Bank Policy Rates Current Rates Bank of England: 0.50% Bank of Japan: 0.10% Fed: 0.00%-0.25% (currently 0.14%) ECB: 0.05% Central Bank Balance Sheets Three Questions Other than asset bubbles, what do we have to show for this? When do asset sheet balances approaching 100% of GDP matter? Reader Gary emailed a link to JP Morgan's Quarterly Market Guide. Here are a pair of charts from page 19 that caught my eye.

article thumbnail

Apple's Balance Sheet Math: Does Apple Really Have $203 Billion in Usable Cash on Hand as Widely Reported?

MishTalk

Current Liabilities Cash Much Smaller Than You Think I don't often dive into balance sheets, but did so after reading a Market-Watch opinion by Brett Arends. billion in “off-balance-sheet” liabilities. If “off-balance-sheet” is not included in my totals, then subtract another $31.5 Yes, companies in general could spend their reported cash numbers, but to do so would further leverage their balance sheets with debt.

article thumbnail

What a Business Financial Statement Can Tell You About the Health of Your Business

Tom Spencer

Business Strategy balance sheet business planning cash flow statement financial statements income statementWhen you run your own small business, it can be difficult to keep an objective distance from what you do. Bills come in, sales go out, you have your day-to-day goals and you watch the curvy line of profit and loss make its inexorable progress throughout the financial year.

article thumbnail

How Business Can Build and Maintain Trust

Harvard Business

Businesses must manage it as carefully as they do their balance sheets. Trust is fragile. Business and society Business ethics Transparency Corporate social responsibility Digital Article

article thumbnail

Consultant Ninja: A Simple Question about the Credit Markets.

Consultant Ninja

Heres my understanding of the current TARP/TARPII/PPIP/etc plans: The major "sick" banks wont lend to businesses, because their balance sheets are tied up with bad assets that they cant sell. I realize that is a gross simplification, but if the gist is right, it leads me to a simple observation: Why doesnt the government just give long-term loans to the healthy banks (building up their balance sheets) so that they can loan to businesses? skip to main | skip to sidebar.

article thumbnail

GE’s Pension Time Bomb: Shortfall $31 Billion and Rising

MishTalk

It’s a $31 Billion Balance Sheet Hole That Keeps Growing. GE has the largest pension shortfall in the S&P 500. more…). Economics

article thumbnail

Internal Feuding Within the ECB Over Tapering: Reflections on Monetary Policy

MishTalk

At the Fed, the debate is over normalization of the balance sheet. The ECB is still addicted to a balance sheet build-up. In contrast, the ECB is still addicted to a balance sheet build-up. The Fed has already finished tapering. But i. But internal feuding has picked up with Germany and the hawks on one side and doves on the other. more…). Economics

article thumbnail

Dear ECB, What’s in Your Wallet?

MishTalk

Last week the ECB reported that its balance sheet Expanded by €11.26 billion to €3.249 trillion. What is the makeup? … Continue reading → Economics

article thumbnail

Monthly Macro Video: Mish With Gordon Long – Spotlight on the Fed, GDP Prospects

MishTalk

This month we discussed the Fed rate hike, the State of Illinois, loan creation, autos, housing, the yield curve, the Fed’s balance sheet, and GDP prospects. Once a month I get together with Gordon Long for a videocast of the month’s hot news topics. The video is about a half-hour long. Mike “Mish” Shedlock. Economics

article thumbnail

Why Tax Reform Changes Nothing -- and Everything

Strategy+Business

We've never had a moment in which so much cash will be sitting on corporate balance sheets. Tax reform actually changes everything. The most strategic-minded executives will see this opportunity as a watershed moment to reevaluate how they allocate cash

article thumbnail

Rising COVID cases, falling economy

Tom Spencer

Since the start of February this year, the Fed has expanded its balance sheet by more than $2.4 To put that in context, the Fed was created in 1913, and its total balance sheet assets only reached $2.4 What does Fed balance sheet expansion mean for the US economy?

article thumbnail

Market Cycles

CaseInterview.com

This can be an emergency savings fund or cash reserves on the balance sheet. All things have a natural cycle. The sun rises; the sun sets. The tide comes in; the tide goes out. Jobs are easy to get; jobs are hard to get.

article thumbnail

Why Tax Reform Changes Nothing -- and Everything

Strategy+Business

We've never had a moment in which so much cash will be sitting on corporate balance sheets. Tax reform actually changes everything. The most strategic-minded executives will see this opportunity as a watershed moment to reevaluate how they allocate cash

article thumbnail

Two Ways for Blues to Prepare for Industry Consolidation

BCG

These mergers will produce tough competitors with diversified portfolios, sturdy balance sheets, greater scale, and advanced capabilities, including consumer engagement, provider collaboration and informatics, population management, and digital channels. Article Thursday, April 14, 2016. Of all the challenges faced by the Blue Cross and Blue Shield Plans, few are as significant as the likely mergers of the big US health care companies.

article thumbnail

Coronavirus & Consulting Offers

Tom Spencer

If the firms don’t have a strong balance sheet, if they foresee a potential cash flow problem, or if they have clients in particularly hard hit industries, I’d be concerned. Reading Time: 3 minutes. The coronavirus epidemic has rattled the planet.

article thumbnail

It’s Not “Time Management.” It’s Lean.

Markovitz Consulting

Unfortunately, companies in the lean community don’t seem to take much note of, or try to copy these experiments, probably because the benefits aren’t reflected on the income statement or balance sheet. In the space of two weeks, the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal both ran articles on the productivity benefits of reduced work hours. The WSJ introduced us to the workers at Rheingans Digital Enabler in Germany, who only put in five-hour days, for a workweek of 25 hours.

article thumbnail

Pretending to be stupid

Seth Godin Blog

We can learn to read a balance sheet and we can get sophisticated about long-term decision making. Intellectual horsepower is overrated. “I’m too stupid to do that,” isn’t helpful and it’s probably not true. We’re capable of learning Photoshop, We can figure out the arithmetic behind our analytics. We can follow a nuanced discussion of strategy. If we’re being honest, the real reason we don’t do this work isn’t that we’re stupid.

article thumbnail

Apologies, owed

Seth Godin Blog

Forgiving a financial debt costs your balance sheet. Money owed accrues interest. Banks and credit card companies thrive on this. The borrower gets to keep using the money, and the lender ends up with more in the end. Apologies owed, on the other hand, accrue nothing whatsoever of value, to either side. Forgiving an owed apology frees you to be generous again

article thumbnail

How Business Intelligence Aids Business Decision Making

Tom Spencer

This reduces assets on the balance sheet and increases expenses on the income statement, resulting in a decrease in net profit.

article thumbnail

Reader Question on Banking System Insolvency, QE, and "Necessity"

MishTalk

reader Dave, a friend, noted that as the Fed jacked up its balance sheet, velocity has mirrored the curve to the downside. Dave asks " Can''t an argument be made that since much of the banking system is really insolvent, that the Fed increasing its balance sheet is necessary? " "Necessity" This depends on what you mean by "necessary" and more importantly, who gets to decide. In response to Will Prices Rise Significantly When Velocity of Money Picks Up?

System 76
article thumbnail

Human Resources Management – How to Get Started

Tom Spencer

Human resource teams are critical to the growth of a company since employees typically represent both the biggest operating expense and largest off-balance sheet asset for most businesses.

article thumbnail

Mergers & Acquisitions: Valuation

Tom Spencer

Building on information provided in Management Consulting: A Guide to the Profession , I highlight three approaches that a consultant can use when performing a valuation: Balance sheet valuation; Market based valuation; and. “Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.” ” ~ Warren Buffett.

Cash Flow 109
article thumbnail

Draghi Pressures ECB to Buy "Junk-Rated" Loan Bundles of Greece and Cyprus

MishTalk

On September 4, ECB President pulled out a financial bazooka including a pledge to build up the ECB''s balance sheet by another €1 trillion. Bundesbank president Jens Weidmann, who also sits on the ECB’s policy making governing council, has already objected to the plan to buy ABS, which he says leaves the central bank’s balance sheet too exposed to risks. In this case, the stench on Greek bank balance sheets will not go away.

article thumbnail

ECB Now a Hedge Fund; €1T Bazooka; ECB Promotes Euro Carry Trade; Draghi Has it Backwards

MishTalk

Question: Mr Draghi, you said that the new measures and the TLTROs will have a sizeable impact on your balance sheet. So all this makes a precise estimate of the impact that these transactions will have on our balance sheet very complicated, especially at the stage when none of these operations have as yet been undertaken. The second aim is to steer, significantly steer, the size of our balance sheet towards the dimensions it used to have at the beginning of 2012.

article thumbnail

What is a Healthy Company?

Markovitz Consulting

It’s a lot more than a healthy balance sheet, although that’s certainly a necessary—but not sufficient—precondition. What is a healthy person? We can argue over specific metrics, but we’d all agree that we have to account for physical as well as mental/emotional health. What is a healthy organization?

Company 124
article thumbnail

Another "Print Your Way to Prosperity" Mindless MMT Proposal

MishTalk

The Fed’s tapering merely slows the growth of its balance sheet. The rarely admitted truth, however, is that there is no need for central banks’ balance sheets to shrink. They could stay permanently larger; and, for some countries, permanently bigger central-bank balance sheets will help reduce public-debt burdens.

article thumbnail

Swiss Gold Referendum in Perspective

MishTalk

After the implementation of the EURCHF floor, gold’s share of the SNB balance sheet has fallen to 7.5% from around 30% in 2007 (top chart) [SNB Balance Sheet]. Taking the current balance sheet of 522bn CHF and spot gold prices, the requirement to hold at least 20% of assets in gold would necessitate buying 1,800 tonnes of gold over 5 years.

article thumbnail

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Reader Question: Does the.

MishTalk

Balanced Budget Ammendment Sign the Balanced Budget Petition. Reader Question: Does the Fed Balance Sheet Properly Reflect QE Announcements? The feds balance sheet doesnt reflect it. The balance sheet was up $720 billion from Aug 1, 2012 to Aug 1, 2013 ($309B in treasuries and $393B in MBS) but that is only $60B per month. So if QE is $85B a month, where is it and why doesnt it show up in the Feds balance sheet.". MISHS.

article thumbnail

New Tools! More Pure Bank Profit!

MishTalk

Inquiring minds are monitoring the Fed''s Balance Sheet. One more week like this and the FED balance sheet will be $1 trillion more than last year at this time. The Federal Reserve is getting more involved in debt markets as it tries to compensate for the impact of its almost $4 trillion balance sheet on short-term interest rates. Three rounds of so-called quantitative easing have enlarged the Fed’s balance sheet to almost $3.8

Tools 76
article thumbnail

Creating Leadership Trust that Inspires People

Rick Conlow

Products, the balance sheet and customers are the priority. Leadership distrust is rampant today according to research. This leadership trust training video will share the antidote to that. For example, the US Congress is rated lower in trust than car salespeople. Only 15% of Americans feel our elected officials are doing a good job. Most employees don’t trust their leaders. As a result, business executives are rated in the bottom one third.

article thumbnail

"Whatever It Takes" Stage Two; Headwinds Explain Why Draghi Will Fail This Time

MishTalk

Having already cut interest rates to record lows and saying they can go no lower, Draghi is now focused on boosting the ECB’s balance sheet. We are quite confident that the impact on our balance sheet size will be adequate, will be significant, will be sizable,” Draghi said. The main message is that our balance sheet will keep expanding in the coming months and will continue expanding while the balance sheets of other central banks is bound to contract.