Balance Sheet Reduction Starts October: Like “Watching Paint Dry”

MishTalk

As expected the Fed will begin balance sheet reduction in October. The Fed penned in one more rate hike in December as its FOMC statement shows the hurricanes will have no lasting effect on anything. more…). Economics

Ignore the Balance Sheet at Your Own Risk

Martinka Consulting

He told me something that’s stuck with me when he said how as an operator he was concerned with the profit and loss statement but as a deal person he found an appreciation for the balance sheet and its importance. The balance sheet tends to get overlooked by many businesspeople, sellers, and buyers, which is a shame. The balance sheet is filled with information, some of which is: How does the company manage its cash flow and what level of working capital is needed?

Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation?

MishTalk

Balanced Budget Ammendment Sign the Balanced Budget Petition. Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation? Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market. Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation? MISHS. Global Economic.

Fed Openly Discusses "Permanently High Balance Sheet"; Lie Finally Admitted

MishTalk

Merits of Not Shrinking the Balloon When the Fed first launched QE, they stated they had the "tools" necessary to shrink their ballooning balance sheet. Once the Federal Reserve lifts interest rates from near zero, likely this week, the focus will turn to the other legacy of the crisis-era policies: the Fed's swollen balance sheet. A " permanently higher balance sheet.

Central Bank Balance Sheets: What Will They Look Like in 2016-2017?

MishTalk

Central Bank Policy Rates Current Rates Bank of England: 0.50% Bank of Japan: 0.10% Fed: 0.00%-0.25% (currently 0.14%) ECB: 0.05% Central Bank Balance Sheets Three Questions Other than asset bubbles, what do we have to show for this?

Financial Engineering Chart of the Day: Fed Balance Sheet vs. S&P 500

MishTalk

Fed Balance Sheet vs. S&P 500 I was playing around with some ideas on the St Louis Fed "Fred" database and came up with this. Mike "Mish" Shedlock Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management.

Diving Into Deutsche Bank’s “Passion to Perform” Balance Sheet

MishTalk

Deutsche Bank shares have collapsed to lows deep under crisis lows and collapse of Lehman in the Great Financial Crisis. … Continue reading → Economics

Fed Balance Sheet Unwinding Expected “Relatively Soon”: Let the Debate Begin

MishTalk

In addition to its standard boilerplate about inflation, the Fed stated it would begin balance sheet normalization “relatively soon” Here is the full Text of the FOMC Press Release. As expected, today’s FOMC meeting came with zero surprises. more…). Economics

Millennials Mired in "Wealth Gap" as Older Americans Gain; Housing Crash Continues to Overshadow Young Families' Balance Sheets

MishTalk

The average value of housing on young families’ balance sheets remains about 35 percent below its 2007 level, the St. These changes going on with individual balance sheets could have impacts on the whole economy,” said William Emmons, an economist at the St.

Fed Lays Out Plan to S L O W L Y Reduce Balance Sheet: How Long Will It Take?

MishTalk

Balance sheet reduction hasn’t started yet, nor did the Fed even say when it would start. Once balance sheet reduction starts, the cap will be $10 billion a month rising to $50 billion a month, on a schedule not posted. In addition to hiking today, the Fed announced its Plan to Shrink Asset Holdings Beginning This Year. Since the Fed will announce the start date in advance, its eye would appear to be focused on December.

Fed Minutes Show Reliance on Consumer Confidence, Sentiment, Soft Data: Balance Sheet Normalization Schedule Set (It Won’t Be Met)

MishTalk

The Fed also firmed up its Balance Sheet Normalization Plans. The Fed released the Minutes of June 13-14 FOMC meeting today. The minutes show an overreliance on regional report soft data and consumer confidence measures instead of hard data measures. more…). Economics

What a Business Financial Statement Can Tell You About the Health of Your Business

Tom Spencer

Business Strategy balance sheet business planning cash flow statement financial statements income statementWhen you run your own small business, it can be difficult to keep an objective distance from what you do. Bills come in, sales go out, you have your day-to-day goals and you watch the curvy line of profit and loss make its inexorable progress throughout the financial year.

A primer in resilience: Maximizing value beyond earnings

McKinsey

Empowering the finance organization to take decisive action to strengthen the balance sheet is critical to achieving organizational resilience. Transformation Insights

Consultant Ninja: A Simple Question about the Credit Markets.

Consultant Ninja

Heres my understanding of the current TARP/TARPII/PPIP/etc plans: The major "sick" banks wont lend to businesses, because their balance sheets are tied up with bad assets that they cant sell. I realize that is a gross simplification, but if the gist is right, it leads me to a simple observation: Why doesnt the government just give long-term loans to the healthy banks (building up their balance sheets) so that they can loan to businesses? skip to main | skip to sidebar.

GE’s Pension Time Bomb: Shortfall $31 Billion and Rising

MishTalk

It’s a $31 Billion Balance Sheet Hole That Keeps Growing. GE has the largest pension shortfall in the S&P 500. more…). Economics

Internal Feuding Within the ECB Over Tapering: Reflections on Monetary Policy

MishTalk

At the Fed, the debate is over normalization of the balance sheet. The ECB is still addicted to a balance sheet build-up. In contrast, the ECB is still addicted to a balance sheet build-up. The Fed has already finished tapering. But i. But internal feuding has picked up with Germany and the hawks on one side and doves on the other. more…). Economics

Time for insurance companies to face digital reality

McKinsey

Regulation, product complexity, and insurers’ large balance sheets have kept digital attackers from insurers’ gates. That is changing, but in ways incumbents should embrace. They can flourish in the digital age—if they move swiftly and decisively. Our Insights

Dear ECB, What’s in Your Wallet?

MishTalk

Last week the ECB reported that its balance sheet Expanded by €11.26 billion to €3.249 trillion. What is the makeup? … Continue reading → Economics

Facing digital reality

McKinsey

Regulation, product complexity, and insurers’ large balance sheets have kept digital attackers from insurers’ gates. That is changing, but in ways incumbents should embrace. They can flourish in the digital age—if they move swiftly and decisively. Our Insights

Why Tax Reform Changes Nothing -- and Everything

Strategy+Business

We've never had a moment in which so much cash will be sitting on corporate balance sheets. Tax reform actually changes everything. The most strategic-minded executives will see this opportunity as a watershed moment to reevaluate how they allocate cash

Monthly Macro Video: Mish With Gordon Long – Spotlight on the Fed, GDP Prospects

MishTalk

This month we discussed the Fed rate hike, the State of Illinois, loan creation, autos, housing, the yield curve, the Fed’s balance sheet, and GDP prospects. Once a month I get together with Gordon Long for a videocast of the month’s hot news topics.

Apologies, owed

Seth Godin Blog

Forgiving a financial debt costs your balance sheet. Money owed accrues interest. Banks and credit card companies thrive on this. The borrower gets to keep using the money, and the lender ends up with more in the end.

Two Ways for Blues to Prepare for Industry Consolidation

BCG

These mergers will produce tough competitors with diversified portfolios, sturdy balance sheets, greater scale, and advanced capabilities, including consumer engagement, provider collaboration and informatics, population management, and digital channels.

Why Tax Reform Changes Nothing -- and Everything

Strategy+Business

We've never had a moment in which so much cash will be sitting on corporate balance sheets. Tax reform actually changes everything. The most strategic-minded executives will see this opportunity as a watershed moment to reevaluate how they allocate cash

It’s Not “Time Management.” It’s Lean.

Markovitz Consulting

Unfortunately, companies in the lean community don’t seem to take much note of, or try to copy these experiments, probably because the benefits aren’t reflected on the income statement or balance sheet. In the space of two weeks, the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal both ran articles on the productivity benefits of reduced work hours. The WSJ introduced us to the workers at Rheingans Digital Enabler in Germany, who only put in five-hour days, for a workweek of 25 hours.

M&A deals – benefits and drawbacks

Tom Spencer

If there are debts owed by each organization, then the M&A process may increase the total balance sheet debt of the combined company. Many consulting, corporate strategy, and corporate development roles require the interviewee to go through an M&A case study.

Pretending to be stupid

Seth Godin Blog

We can learn to read a balance sheet and we can get sophisticated about long-term decision making. Intellectual horsepower is overrated. “I’m too stupid to do that,” isn’t helpful and it’s probably not true. We’re capable of learning Photoshop, We can figure out the arithmetic behind our analytics. We can follow a nuanced discussion of strategy. If we’re being honest, the real reason we don’t do this work isn’t that we’re stupid.

Mergers & Acquisitions: Valuation

Tom Spencer

Building on information provided in Management Consulting: A Guide to the Profession , I highlight three approaches that a consultant can use when performing a valuation: Balance sheet valuation; Market based valuation; and. “Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.”

Nothing Magical About 2% Inflation Target Says Bernanke

MishTalk

Bernanke also made the case in his presentation for keeping the Fed’s balance sheet big in the aftermath of the financial crisis. [Is Most other major central banks have permanently large balance sheets and are able to implement monetary policy without problems,” he said.

The Importance of Business Acumen for High Performance

LSA Global

Study the Balance Sheet. With term definitions in hand, analyze your company’s balance sheet. Become familiar with what a typical balance looks like and what it can tell you about the financial state of a business. The Importance of Business Acumen.

Swiss Gold Referendum in Perspective

MishTalk

After the implementation of the EURCHF floor, gold’s share of the SNB balance sheet has fallen to 7.5% from around 30% in 2007 (top chart) [SNB Balance Sheet].

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Reader Question: Does the.

MishTalk

Balanced Budget Ammendment Sign the Balanced Budget Petition. Reader Question: Does the Fed Balance Sheet Properly Reflect QE Announcements? The feds balance sheet doesnt reflect it. Feds Balance Sheet. Fluctuations in repo balances.

Creating Leadership Trust that Inspires People

Rick Conlow

Products, the balance sheet and customers are the priority. Leadership distrust is rampant today according to research. This leadership trust training video will share the antidote to that. For example, the US Congress is rated lower in trust than car salespeople.

"Whatever It Takes" Stage Two; Headwinds Explain Why Draghi Will Fail This Time

MishTalk

Having already cut interest rates to record lows and saying they can go no lower, Draghi is now focused on boosting the ECB’s balance sheet. We are quite confident that the impact on our balance sheet size will be adequate, will be significant, will be sizable,” Draghi said.

New Tools! More Pure Bank Profit!

MishTalk

Inquiring minds are monitoring the Fed''s Balance Sheet. One more week like this and the FED balance sheet will be $1 trillion more than last year at this time. Three rounds of so-called quantitative easing have enlarged the Fed’s balance sheet to almost $3.8

Tools 78

The age old tale of financial crises

Tom Spencer

Moreover, balance sheet data from the Federal Reserve shows that the acquired assets have remained fairly consistent in value, indicating that the underlying assets were not altogether a lost cause.

Reader Question on Banking System Insolvency, QE, and "Necessity"

MishTalk

reader Dave, a friend, noted that as the Fed jacked up its balance sheet, velocity has mirrored the curve to the downside. Dave asks " Can''t an argument be made that since much of the banking system is really insolvent, that the Fed increasing its balance sheet is necessary? " "Necessity" This depends on what you mean by "necessary" and more importantly, who gets to decide. In response to Will Prices Rise Significantly When Velocity of Money Picks Up?