MishTalk

SEPTEMBER 10, 2016

Looking for group think, extrapolation of extreme silliness, linear thinking, and belief in absurd models? Then look no further than … Continue reading →

Groups 28

Groups 28

Chad Barr

DECEMBER 11, 2013

This week’s reflection point: It’s mid December and the time of year when many evaluate their failures and accomplishments and then extrapolate next year’s goals and action plan. Here are Chad’s top 11 questions to ensure success in the New Year.

Resources 40

Resources Groups Productivity Marketing 40

Harvard Business

DECEMBER 6, 2017

Much like credit data, we could soon have a burgeoning cottage industry in what I call extrapolated uses of biometric data. Businesses already analyze customer data to infer characteristics they can’t know for sure and extrapolate likely behaviors.

Data 32

Data Insurance Insurance Government 32

NeoAcademic

MARCH 11, 2020

So I am taking the information I do have and extrapolating a bit based on my own experience. .” So take this as you will, and please recognize that I don’t have access to any information that you don’t. Let me first give a general recommendation: Calm the f%&$ down. Here’s the main thing to remember.

Conference 40

Conference Insurance Insurance Hotels 40

Seth Godin Blog

MARCH 5, 2015

But when things decay, we can''t stop thinking about the loss, extrapolating the pattern all the way to doom, and then living with that doom, long before it arrives. It takes almost no time at all for the improvement to turn into an expectation and for the expectation to be taken for granted.

Media 20

Media System Culture 20

LSA Global

JUNE 6, 2018

It’s not that difficult to extrapolate this scenario to the work environment. Better grades. The behaviors? Better tracking and communication. The progress? A steady march toward the honor roll. Changing Behaviors in the Workplace.

How To 28

How To Study System Leadership 28

LSA Global

JANUARY 10, 2018

You can easily extrapolate to the next frame where they achieve their sales quotas. You gotta’ love the picture…a graphic of the ideal sales coaching situation. Sales team members eagerly scrambling up the learning curve encouraged by their supportive sales manager. But is this anywhere near what happens in the real world?

Sales 34

Sales Management Training Training 34

Harvard Business

JULY 14, 2017

Extrapolating from past trends is useful but limiting in a world of accelerating technological change. If 19th-century urban planners had had access to big data, machine learning techniques, and modern management theory, these tools would not have helped them. They simply would have confirmed their existing concerns. Science fiction can help.

Real Estate 53

Real Estate Engineering Transportation Industry 53

Harvard Business

OCTOBER 11, 2018

When a function increases slowly at first and then accelerates, though, that causes problems, because people extrapolate that function linearly. If you spend $5 a day on coffee, then it is easy to think about the influence that has on your weekly budget, without needing a spreadsheet. A few cigarettes are probably not deadly.

Report 44

Report Transportation Trends Energy 44

MishTalk

JANUARY 13, 2015

Europe is not USA Jakobsen says success stories like the three QE Federal Reserve (Fed) cannot be extrapolated to the Eurozone. Funding goes to the 20% of companies that "never again will create jobs." Interest rates declining few tenths more will not improve the economy. His reason? In Europe the opposite is true.

Banking 28

Banking Construction Policies Enterprise 28

Harvard Business

MAY 8, 2017

While extrapolating to other settings is beyond the scope of this paper, elite female MBA students are a select group, one that presumably places a higher value on career success than the general female population does. These decisions can have labor market consequences with long-lasting effects.

Travel 53

Travel Survey Groups Report 53

Harvard Business

NOVEMBER 22, 2016

For one set of target customers, the best combination of variables achieved a 180% lift in bookings over the control offer and was worth millions in incremental revenue when extrapolated to the full set of customers.

Balance Sheet 28

Balance Sheet Insurance Insurance Data 28

MishTalk

OCTOBER 30, 2015

As discussed in detail in the latest World Economic Outlook of the IMF (October 2015), these changes have often extrapolated the range of historical adjustments experienced by major currencies. International Depreciation Trends Over the last two years, many countries have experienced significant movements in the value of their currencies.

Guidelines 28

Guidelines Ethics Trends Financial 28

Harvard Business

NOVEMBER 25, 2016

Bad examples include predicting profits from the introduction of a completely new and revolutionary product line, or extrapolating next year’s sales from past data, when an important new competitor just entered the market.

How To 28

How To Data Methodologies Examples 28

Harvard Business

OCTOBER 24, 2016

Extrapolating trend lines into the future assumes the future will look like the past. What will they do if those forecasts come true? Beware of missing pieces in the tools you use. Financial analysis isn’t designed for nonfinancial factors such as competitive dynamics and customer loyalty.

Strategy Development 28

Strategy Development Trends Strategy Strategy 28

Harvard Business

OCTOBER 24, 2016

The good news is that we see a trend of dynamic young businesses beginning to realize that the pattern-detection and extrapolative powers of the digital (and, in many cases, physical) infrastructures that they have been building and refining can be repurposed from Main Street applications to Wall Street.

Operations 28

Operations Finance Media Financial 28

Harvard Business

JANUARY 31, 2017

It didn’t take much to extrapolate that asking nonprofessional drivers to become taxi drivers who are looking at smartphones while driving could lead to tragic accidents, or that when normal people turn their apartments into hotel rooms, they may not have safety measures like carbon monoxide detectors in place.

Hotels 28

Hotels Travel Film Company 28

Harvard Business

APRIL 4, 2018

Let’s extrapolate a couple of examples from our data to see what this can look like in practice. What this means is that entrepreneurs with a fixed mindset viewed their feelings of job fit as so rigid that it influenced their feelings of passion, consequently leading to burnout.

Report 38

Report Survey Research Study 38

Harvard Business

JUNE 1, 2016

Extrapolate what implications these new core beliefs would have on strategy, capital allocation and key metrics. .” 
Find an inversion that resonates with you—one that you think might actually be true—and consider how this new belief would change your behavior.

Industry 28

Industry Metrics Transportation Strategy 28

CaseInterview.com

OCTOBER 31, 2019

It is very easy to over-extrapolate the data and to form overly negative conclusions about those rejections. Extending this line of reasoning, rejection should be interpreted as 1) you are focusing on the wrong goal, or 2) you got the right goal, but you are going about it in the wrong way. and that's it! Nothing more, and nothing less.

McKinsey 64

McKinsey Case Interview Interviews Oliver Wyman 64

MishTalk

NOVEMBER 20, 2015

Research shows that people tend to use simple forecast rules that extrapolate from recent data (Williams 2013). A final explanation for the pattern of SEP growth forecasts may be linked to a natural human tendency to assume that recent trends will continue.

Balance Sheet 28

Balance Sheet Banking Study Policies 28

CaseInterview.com

SEPTEMBER 10, 2019

So it's important to not misweigh the data points you see and extrapolate incorrectly to the rest of the population. So if you're comparing yourself against the one person at XYZ firm who has an MBA from Harvard, an M.D. from Stanford, and a J.D. and won an Olympic Gold Medal too. well, let me be the first to tell you.

Case Interview 58

Case Interview Interviews Video Consulting 58

Harvard Business

FEBRUARY 13, 2017

As McGrath and MacMillan explained in their original article, “conventional planning operates on the premise that managers can extrapolate future results from a well-understood and predictable platform of past experience.” It’s a technique that any manager can use when developing and launching a new venture.

Benchmarking 31

Benchmarking Methodologies Apparel Company 31

MishTalk

JANUARY 15, 2015

Here they are again, taken from Steen Jakobsen Warns "Euro is Not a Good Idea and ECB About to Make Biggest Mistake in History" Jakobsen says success stories like the three QE Federal Reserve (Fed) cannot be extrapolated to the Eurozone. His reason? In Europe the opposite is true.

Real Estate 28

Real Estate Banking Comparison Trends 28

MishTalk

JUNE 26, 2013

In reality, all they are doing is extrapolate recent trends, while making up reasons for these extrapolations that are meant to make it sound as though they actually knew why markets are doing what they are doing.

Real Estate 69

Real Estate Financial Case Interview Banking 69

CaseInterview.com

DECEMBER 11, 2019

It also requires the student to think critically about the situation at hand and to extrapolate from the mental role model and apply it, or parts of it, as appropriate. This is my preferred way of teaching because it serves the student better in the long run. But a lot of people really hate this approach.

Case Interview 60

Case Interview Industry Interviews Construction 60

CaseInterview.com

SEPTEMBER 9, 2022

You’re given a cause, and you must logically extrapolate the likely effect.] You’re provided a history of all pricing changes from all companies in the industry (including your client). Given historical competitive behaviors, how will sales likely change after the price reduction? A client reports that company profits have been decimated.

McKinsey 52

McKinsey How To Data Strategy 52

CaseInterview.com

OCTOBER 29, 2020

I thought a major failure in one part of my life automatically extrapolated to being a failure in all parts of my life. (A decade later, I learned that psychologists call this “cognitive distortion.” I had no idea that was a thing.) . That was a cognitive distortion for me.)

Cash Flow 128

Cash Flow Resources Groups Video 128

MishTalk

FEBRUARY 2, 2015

Possible explanations for this pattern include missed warning signals about the buildup of imbalances before the crisis, overestimation of the efficacy of monetary policy following a balance-sheet recession, and the natural tendency of forecasters to extrapolate from recent data. This is a general statement. But that''s what they believe.

Study 28

Study Balance Sheet Banking Construction 28

Harvard Business

APRIL 25, 2017

While they did not specifically study health insurance, it is easy to extrapolate their research to this question. The researchers found — in concordance with an increasing body of evidence — that lack of money saps people’s attention.

Insurance 34

Insurance Insurance Study Research 34

Harvard Business

DECEMBER 12, 2016

Extrapolations indicate that by 2025, the Chinese sphere of trade leadership will extend even farther, with the U.S. To see this, look at the trade-focused map below, with countries colored in terms of whether the U.S. or China is their larger trading partner. forecast to lead only in the part of the Americas that is north of the equator.

Course 28

Course Media Enterprise Leadership 28

Harvard Business

JULY 5, 2017

I spoke over email with Brown and Huang about their working paper and what we can extrapolate from it; our edited conversation is below. Brown and Jiekun Huang used in conjunction with other financial data to pose an intriguing question in their working paper : do companies see a stock bump after an executive has an Oval Office meeting?

Research 31

Research Company Government Policies 31