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How the Great Recession Changed Banking

Harvard Business

The market panicked. The Great Recession of 2007 to 2009 was under way. That strengthened investment banks’ balance sheets by forcing them to scale back and to change the nature of the risks they take. This is most apparent in the credit markets, where revenues have shrunk by more than 40% from pre-crisis peaks.

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Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

Of course, there is also persistent overoptimism about earnings growth and stock market expectations. Trucking Industry Entering a Profit-Killing Era of Overcapacity? Trucking Industry Entering a Profit-Killing Era of Overcapacity? So far, the industry does not appear to be doing that. The Fed never sees them coming.

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Inequality Isn’t Just Due to Market Forces — It’s Caused by Decisions the Boss Makes, Too

Harvard Business

In it, the authors, both sociologists, made a compelling argument that, to understand labor market outcomes like inequality, it wasn’t enough to look at the supply and demand for individuals’ skills. However, any discussion of firms and wage inequality must not be limited to discussion of market forces. Related Video.

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Reflections on "Uncertainty"; Yellen Expects Rates Hikes but "Uncertain" about Growth, Jobs, Inflation, Wages

MishTalk

Employment Slack It is my judgment that the lower level of the unemployment rate today probably does not fully capture the extent of slack remaining in the labor market--in other words, how far away we are from a full-employment economy. Indeed, industrial production continued to decline somewhat in April and May.

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As European Banks Retreat from the World Stage, China Is Stepping Up

Harvard Business

It has been 10 years since the global financial crisis, and the fall-out continues in the industry that was at its epicenter: banking. There has been a truly dramatic retrenchment from foreign markets, making banking a rare case of an industry becoming less, rather than more, global. trillion, or 45%.

Banking 28
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China's Forex Reserves Drop Most On Record: What Does It Mean? Inflation Tsunami?

MishTalk

If the Fed were to pull back, if it was to taper and eventually stop buying bonds, it's not only the absence of Fed buying that would crush the market, private buyers, particularly the leveraged speculators, why would anybody buy a 10-year treasury yielding what, 2.8%, or even a 30-year treasury at 3.9%, why would you do that?"

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Shockingly Bad Fiscal Health of Chicago (and the Financial Engineering Chicago Uses to Hide that Fact)

MishTalk

trillion muni market had puzzled at the true identity of Bond Girl, Hector Negroni, co-founder of New York-based investing firm Fundamental Credit Opportunities, said in a telephone interview. “ Guest Post I mention the above to prove Culpepper is highly regarded in the industry. It is not a balance sheet test, but a cash flow test.