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China Faces "Minsky Moment" on Ponzi Financing

MishTalk

We have described in detail over the past two years how we believe China’s twin excesses (excessive investment funded by excessive debt) will inevitably unwind, causing a substantial slowdown in China’s economy, significantly below market expectations. reached in 2007. That 80% increase over five years compares to the U.S.’s

Finance 75
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How Competition Is Driving AI’s Rapid Adoption

Harvard Business

At the industry level they include (a) the extent of AI diffusion in economies; (b) the build-up of corporate profit; and (c) labor market dynamics. It took several decades for steam to drive the rollout of railways services and create a large market of exchanges in the United States. This may dissuade them from acting.

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Consultant Ninja: When "hedging" is just speculation: Management.

Consultant Ninja

In both 2008 and 2007, an increase in jet fuel prices was the primary reason for higher mainline and United Express fuel expense and aircraft fuel cost per gallon, as highlighted in the table below. "The The Company’s cash flows and results of operations have been adversely impacted by these factors as indicated by its net loss of $5.3

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BIS Slams the Fed; Ridiculous Question of the Day: "Is The Fed Going To Attempt A Controlled Collapse?"

MishTalk

The BIS slam, coupled with a recent stock market selloff, brought up debate on a " controlled collapse ". Over the past few years, non-financial corporations in a number of EMEs have borrowed heavily through their foreign affiliates in the capital markets, with the debt denominated mainly in foreign currency.

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Shockingly Bad Fiscal Health of Chicago (and the Financial Engineering Chicago Uses to Hide that Fact)

MishTalk

trillion muni market had puzzled at the true identity of Bond Girl, Hector Negroni, co-founder of New York-based investing firm Fundamental Credit Opportunities, said in a telephone interview. “ The Corporate Fund is Chicago’s general operating fund. Chicago’s property tax revenues do not go into its general operating fund.

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Hussman's Open Letter to the Fed; The Problem with Bubbles; Textbook Pre-Crash Bubble; Reflections on Not Chasing Bubbles; Integrity vs. Respect

MishTalk

Though I don’t believe that markets follow math, it’s striking how closely market action in recent years has followed a “log-periodic bubble” as described by Didier Sornette (see Increasingly Immediate Impulses to Buy the Dip ). I have been prepared to underperform for the fun of being proved right when markets crash.

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5 Ways the Best Companies Close the Strategy-Execution Gap

Harvard Business

Too many companies still follow a “Plan-then-Do” approach to strategy: The organization works tirelessly to create its best forecasts about the future market and competitive landscape. Webvan was forced to cease operations by 2001. Caesars Entertainment has built test-and-learn into its marketing investments.