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Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation?

MishTalk

Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation? Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market. The risk premiums of risky securities have become unsustainably compressed in the process, and the Feds balance sheet has metastasized to $3.5 Minsky noted that ‘euphoria’ might develop at this stage.

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Start of a Global Currency Crisis?

MishTalk

To be fair, quite a few emerging market currencies as well as the currencies of developed countries that are large commodity exporters have been under pressure for some time. US Dollar Since mid-2008 the Lira collapsed from 1.03 to the US dollar, a collapse of 58%. Turkey''s deputy prime minister Ali Babacan Blames Fed Tapering.

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BIS Slams the Fed; Ridiculous Question of the Day: "Is The Fed Going To Attempt A Controlled Collapse?"

MishTalk

Historical evidence shows that this rarely happens following a balance sheet recession. In addition, official statistics may underestimate intangible investment (spending on research and development, training, etc), which has been gaining importance in serviced-based economies. Financial cycles differ from business cycles.

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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Michael Pettis on the China.

MishTalk

Chinese financial markets often seem less volatile than one would expect for a poor, developing country, largely because of administrative measures that intentionally or unintentionally suppress normal volatility. the country’s balance sheet, and this will mean not a collapse but. December 2008 (85). June 2008 (97).

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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Ritholtz on Gold and on.

MishTalk

Barring some new developments — like all the gold in Fort Knox becoming irradiated — I do not expect to see a resumption of the 2001-11 uptrend. December 2008 (85). November 2008 (78). October 2008 (108). September 2008 (140). August 2008 (93). July 2008 (104). June 2008 (97).

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Oil’s Boom-and-Bust Cycle May Be Over. Here’s Why

Harvard Business

Unlike national oil companies and oil majors that typically take five to 10 years to develop conventional oil reserves, these independent and “unconventional” players have improved their drilling and fracturing technology to the point where they can respond within months to temporary spikes or dips in the market.

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FOMC Minutes and Economic Projections: Dissent in Both Directions

MishTalk

Going forward, he viewed it as particularly important for the Committee to monitor price developments closely and to adapt its policy in response to incoming economic information. Participants also described their views regarding the appropriate path of the Federal Reserves balance sheet. December 2008 (85).