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China Faces "Minsky Moment" on Ponzi Financing

MishTalk

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to 5.0% China’s private sector debt has increased from 115% of GDP in 2007 to 193% at the end of 2013. There is evidence that this debt growth has become excessive and non-productive. Based on our analysis, our baseline case is that China may slow from the current level of 7.7% trillion GDP.

Finance 75
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Consultant Ninja: When "hedging" is just speculation: Management.

Consultant Ninja

Uniteds fuel hedging strategy has all the marks of some smooth-talking consultants or bankers. In both 2008 and 2007, an increase in jet fuel prices was the primary reason for higher mainline and United Express fuel expense and aircraft fuel cost per gallon, as highlighted in the table below. "The I am a strategy consultant at.

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Housing Starts in China Plunge 25%; Did China's Property Bubble Finally Burst?

MishTalk

Economic data released on Tuesday also included a deceleration in industrial production, with growth in steel and cement output slowing to a crawl. Property investment has grown to account for about 13 per cent of gross domestic product, roughly double the US share at the height of the bubble in 2007.

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Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation?

MishTalk

So refraining from any forecast of what will happen in the near term, it’s sufficient to observe that the economic data is not nearly as strong as widely perceived, and the impact of QE on stock prices does nothing to improve the underlying cash flows. December 2007 (69). November 2007 (91). October 2007 (56).

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BIS Slams the Fed; Ridiculous Question of the Day: "Is The Fed Going To Attempt A Controlled Collapse?"

MishTalk

It could represent a hidden vulnerability, especially if backed by domestic currency cash flows derived from overextended sectors, such as property, or used for carry trades or other forms of speculative position-taking. This share was higher than during the pre-crisis period from 2005 to mid-2007.

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5 Ways the Best Companies Close the Strategy-Execution Gap

Harvard Business

Executives say that they lose 40% of their strategy’s potential value to breakdowns in execution. In our experience at Bain & Company, however, this strategy-to-performance gap is rarely the result of shortcomings in implementation; it is because the plans are flawed from the start. Value flexibility.

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Every Fast-Growing Company Has to Combat Overload

Harvard Business

But by the 1990s it had run aground: It hadn’t properly developed systems to implement its growth strategy internally, and so that strategy broke down at dozens of points of execution on the front line—with customers, crew, staff on the shore and the company’s travel agent partners. Chaos ensued.

Company 34