MishTalk

SEPTEMBER 21, 2017

In response to Janet Yellen’s everything is OK speech following today’s balance sheet reduction notice by the FOMC committee, I received an interesting set of comments from Pater Tenebrarum at the Acting Man Blog regarding rate hike cycles, gold, and stock market peaks. Mike “Mish” Shedlock.

Balance Sheet 37

Balance Sheet Banking Trends Analysis 37

MishTalk

JULY 11, 2014

In crisis-hit countries, it is unrealistic to expect the level of output to return to its pre-crisis trend. Historical evidence shows that this rarely happens following a balance sheet recession. Moreover, even the prospects for restoring trend growth are not bright. Moreover, the investment weakness may be overstated.

Balance Sheet 74

Balance Sheet Financial Banking Policies 74

MishTalk

NOVEMBER 20, 2015

UPS Freight , the fifth-largest LTL, reported tonnage off 10 percent (matching the record decline reported in the 2009 3Q during the depth of the Great Recession) and shipments down 5 percent year over year (the worst drop since 2008 fourth quarter). Overoptimism 2008-2010 The SEP growth forecast for 2008 never turned negative.

Balance Sheet 28

Balance Sheet Banking Study Policies 28

MishTalk

JULY 16, 2014

If you assume that those trends would remain in place then nominal GDP should have expanded at about 3% over the ensuing twelve months, which is exactly what occurred. Rather than repairing its balance sheet by reducing debt, the U.S. According to the OECD, Japan’s PSR for 2014 will be 0.6%, virtually unchanged from 2008.

Balance Sheet 68

Balance Sheet Financial Analysis Policies 68

MishTalk

JULY 10, 2013

Trend Analysis. Bay Area Real Estate Trends. EW Trends and Charts. He pointed out that inflation had trended down since the beginning of 2012 and was now well below target. Participants also described their views regarding the appropriate path of the Federal Reserves balance sheet. December 2008 (85).

Real Estate 61

Real Estate Financial Policies Advertising 61

Harvard Business

MARCH 1, 2018

Most major producers with large balance sheets will likely hedge their bets and attempt both. These trends will require oil producers to shift their focus away from transportation and diversify towards innovative petrochemical products to capture market share in diverse end uses such as clothing and construction materials.

Cash Flow 37

Cash Flow Transportation Balance Sheet Energy 37

MishTalk

JUNE 30, 2013

Trend Analysis. Bay Area Real Estate Trends. EW Trends and Charts. And the recent cash crunch in the interbank market is likely to slow expansion of off-balance sheet lending, further exacerbating funding conditions for SMEs. December 2008 (85). November 2008 (78). October 2008 (108).

Analysis 72

Analysis Trends Real Estate Financial 72

MishTalk

FEBRUARY 2, 2015

Possible explanations for this pattern include missed warning signals about the buildup of imbalances before the crisis, overestimation of the efficacy of monetary policy following a balance-sheet recession, and the natural tendency of forecasters to extrapolate from recent data. A study by Alessi, et al.

Study 28

Study Balance Sheet Banking Construction 28

MishTalk

JANUARY 3, 2014

Had I suggested in 2007 that the Fed balance sheet expansion of $75 billion a month would have been considered "tightening" people would have thought I was nuts. Given there shouldn''t be a Fed in the first place, it would be more accurate to state " Yellen and Summers are uniquely unqualified for the job ". Here we are.

Conference 74

Conference Banking Government Balance Sheet 74