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Millennials Mired in "Wealth Gap" as Older Americans Gain; Housing Crash Continues to Overshadow Young Families' Balance Sheets

MishTalk

The average value of housing on young families’ balance sheets remains about 35 percent below its 2007 level, the St. These changes going on with individual balance sheets could have impacts on the whole economy,” said William Emmons, an economist at the St. Louis Fed paper estimates. I predicted this outcome years ago.

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Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation?

MishTalk

Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation? Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market. The risk premiums of risky securities have become unsustainably compressed in the process, and the Feds balance sheet has metastasized to $3.5 Fed Balance Sheet vs. Stock Market; Will QE Cause Inflation?

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Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

UPS Freight , the fifth-largest LTL, reported tonnage off 10 percent (matching the record decline reported in the 2009 3Q during the depth of the Great Recession) and shipments down 5 percent year over year (the worst drop since 2008 fourth quarter). Overoptimism 2008-2010 The SEP growth forecast for 2008 never turned negative.

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Oil’s Boom-and-Bust Cycle May Be Over. Here’s Why

Harvard Business

Most major producers with large balance sheets will likely hedge their bets and attempt both. By 2050, more than half of the world’s passenger cars are likely to be electric vehicles, according to the Morgan Stanley study.

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Fed Study Shows "Persistent Fed Overoptimism about Economic Growth"; What Will They Do About It?

MishTalk

Possible explanations for this pattern include missed warning signals about the buildup of imbalances before the crisis, overestimation of the efficacy of monetary policy following a balance-sheet recession, and the natural tendency of forecasters to extrapolate from recent data. A study by Alessi, et al.

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