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Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

Third-quarter Gross Domestic Product grew at a 1.5 UPS Freight , the fifth-largest LTL, reported tonnage off 10 percent (matching the record decline reported in the 2009 3Q during the depth of the Great Recession) and shipments down 5 percent year over year (the worst drop since 2008 fourth quarter). in October from 50.2 in September.

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If You Think Downsizing Might Save Your Company, Think Again

Harvard Business

During the Great Recession of 2008, companies around the world downsized their workforces. American firms alone laid off more than 8 million workers from the end of 2008 to the middle of 2010. We add to this debate with our new research, which indicates that downsizing may actually increase the likelihood of bankruptcy.

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"Treasury Bond Undervalued" Says Hoisington Second Quarter Review; Path to Fiscal Ruin

MishTalk

Readers of our letters are familiar with our long-standing assessment that the cause of slower growth is the overly indebted economy with too much non-productive debt. Rather than repairing its balance sheet by reducing debt, the U.S. According to the OECD, Japan’s PSR for 2014 will be 0.6%, virtually unchanged from 2008.

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BIS Slams the Fed; Ridiculous Question of the Day: "Is The Fed Going To Attempt A Controlled Collapse?"

MishTalk

Historical evidence shows that this rarely happens following a balance sheet recession. Productivity growth in advanced economies has been on a declining trend since well before the onset of the financial crisis, and the workforce is already shrinking in several countries as the population ages.

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Reflections on 2013; What's Important, What's Not? What's Ahead?

MishTalk

Had I suggested in 2007 that the Fed balance sheet expansion of $75 billion a month would have been considered "tightening" people would have thought I was nuts. The Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) blames motor vehicle emissions, but the president of the Beijing Municipal Research Institute of Environmental Protection blames coal.