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Asset Management – Valuation (Part 2 of 4)

Tom Spencer

There are a couple of reasons for this: Asset managers can see cash flow and earnings fluctuate wildly with markets. If there is a financial crisis, the stock market falls by half and the asset manager’s performance is in line with the stock market, they now make $500 million. Valuation of Asset Management Firms.

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Winning Isn’t Everything: The Art of Playing Well

Tom Spencer

One of the key examples Lewis highlights in his book was the practice among large investment banks of creating and selling complex financial products known as mortgage-backed securities. As a result, the value of many of these securities plummeted to zero when the housing market crashed.

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Use Data to Fix the Small Business Lending Gap

Harvard Business

In the past, a community bank would have a relationship with the businesses on Main Street, and when it came time for a loan, there would be a wealth of informal information to augment the loan application. And they are allowing new sources of capital such as peer-to-peer lending to replace traditional bank capital.

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Why We Need to Update Financial Reporting for the Digital Era

Harvard Business

The market caps of just four companies, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft, now exceed $3 trillion. Their combined assets of $944 billion are an order of magnitude lower than the combined assets of $7,700 billion of the largest 3,177 companies in 1986, when the aggregate market capitalization reached $3 trillion for the first time.

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A Blueprint for Digital Companies’ Financial Reporting

Harvard Business

On June 25, 2018, Facebook lost market capitalization of more than $100 billion in just two hours of trading after it announced its quarterly performance, despite exceeding analysts’ earnings forecasts. The level and trend of a company’s top-line metric is an advance indicator of the success of its business model.

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Hussman's Open Letter to the Fed; The Problem with Bubbles; Textbook Pre-Crash Bubble; Reflections on Not Chasing Bubbles; Integrity vs. Respect

MishTalk

Though I don’t believe that markets follow math, it’s striking how closely market action in recent years has followed a “log-periodic bubble” as described by Didier Sornette (see Increasingly Immediate Impulses to Buy the Dip ). I have been prepared to underperform for the fun of being proved right when markets crash.