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Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

Sales of Class 8 heavy trucks are on pace for one of the best years in history - around 260,000 units in North America. A possible explanation for the SEP’s prediction of a rapid catch-up to potential GDP after 2009 is that participants overestimated the efficacy of monetary policy in the aftermath of a so-called balance-sheet recession.

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Bulls and Bears Debate China: Property Bubble Expands Again; GDP Growth Picks Up; Economic Recovery Underway? No Says Michael Pettis

MishTalk

A series of land sales have set record prices since August, with real estate developers ramping up their competition for the best plots in the biggest cities. This means that the foreign currency reserves are simply the asset side of a balance sheet against which there are liabilities. China Rich in Reserves.

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Shockingly Bad Fiscal Health of Chicago (and the Financial Engineering Chicago Uses to Hide that Fact)

MishTalk

Among other things, she handles the structuring and sale of bonds for schools across the state. The Chicago Tribune estimated it at approximately $400 million : In 2002, for example, the city used tax-exempt bonds to pay an arbitration award involving the Fraternal Order of Police. It is not a balance sheet test, but a cash flow test.