article thumbnail

Descent of the Global Monetary System

Tom Spencer

For example, if the US government spends more than it collects in taxes, it can finance the budget deficit by selling bonds. However, when confidence eventually returns and the rate of spending starts to rise, at that point, the Federal Reserve will not be able to reduce the money supply by shrinking the size of its balance sheet.

System 88
article thumbnail

Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

A possible explanation for the SEP’s prediction of a rapid catch-up to potential GDP after 2009 is that participants overestimated the efficacy of monetary policy in the aftermath of a so-called balance-sheet recession. Month/Year Current Conditions Expected Conditions 2/1/2002 13.80 -11.92 7/2015 -14.92 8/2015 -14.67

Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

article thumbnail

Bulls and Bears Debate China: Property Bubble Expands Again; GDP Growth Picks Up; Economic Recovery Underway? No Says Michael Pettis

MishTalk

We are often told that a fall in housing prices won’t affect the real economy in China much because, unlike in the US, the amount of real estate financed by mortgages is quite low. This means that the foreign currency reserves are simply the asset side of a balance sheet against which there are liabilities. billion yuan in July.

article thumbnail

Shockingly Bad Fiscal Health of Chicago (and the Financial Engineering Chicago Uses to Hide that Fact)

MishTalk

Chicago finances are even worse than I thought which is saying quite a bit because I have written about the sorry state of Chicago finances on numerous occasion. Many of these uses of bond proceeds are not eligible for tax-exempt financing under the federal tax code." Who Is Kristi Culpepper? You should be.