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Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

factory activity grew last month at its slowest pace since May 2013 as manufacturers pared their stockpiles and cut jobs. Sales of Class 8 heavy trucks are on pace for one of the best years in history - around 260,000 units in North America. The Institute for Supply Management’s index of factory activity slipped to 50.1 in September.

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Reflections on 2013; What's Important, What's Not? What's Ahead?

MishTalk

Had I suggested in 2007 that the Fed balance sheet expansion of $75 billion a month would have been considered "tightening" people would have thought I was nuts. Total credit in the economy (total social financing) showed a 40 per cent rise in November over the prior month and is on course for growth this year of almost 20 per cent.