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Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

Operating revenue decreased 15.9 Explaining the Persistent Overoptimism In a cross-country study of private-sector forecasts from 1989 to 1998, Loungani (2001) finds that “the record of failure to predict recessions is virtually unblemished.” That has spread to the truckload side as well. percent to $182.5 percent to $160.7

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Shockingly Bad Fiscal Health of Chicago (and the Financial Engineering Chicago Uses to Hide that Fact)

MishTalk

Chicago finances are even worse than I thought which is saying quite a bit because I have written about the sorry state of Chicago finances on numerous occasion. Many of these uses of bond proceeds are not eligible for tax-exempt financing under the federal tax code." The Corporate Fund is Chicago’s general operating fund.