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Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

UPS Freight , the fifth-largest LTL, reported tonnage off 10 percent (matching the record decline reported in the 2009 3Q during the depth of the Great Recession) and shipments down 5 percent year over year (the worst drop since 2008 fourth quarter). Overoptimism 2008-2010 The SEP growth forecast for 2008 never turned negative.

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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis: Ritholtz on Gold and on.

MishTalk

Get Involved The State of the Unions Finances: A Citizens Guide. Balanced Budget Ammendment Sign the Balanced Budget Petition. Barring some new developments — like all the gold in Fort Knox becoming irradiated — I do not expect to see a resumption of the 2001-11 uptrend. December 2008 (85).

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