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Persistent Overoptimism Three Ways: Truckers, Fed Economists, Manufacturers

MishTalk

Sales of Class 8 heavy trucks are on pace for one of the best years in history - around 260,000 units in North America. Explaining the Persistent Overoptimism In a cross-country study of private-sector forecasts from 1989 to 1998, Loungani (2001) finds that “the record of failure to predict recessions is virtually unblemished.”

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Shockingly Bad Fiscal Health of Chicago (and the Financial Engineering Chicago Uses to Hide that Fact)

MishTalk

Chicago finances are even worse than I thought which is saying quite a bit because I have written about the sorry state of Chicago finances on numerous occasion. Many of these uses of bond proceeds are not eligible for tax-exempt financing under the federal tax code." Who Is Kristi Culpepper? You should be.