Data, instinct, and what the US election tells us about both
The Source
DECEMBER 3, 2020
On the eve of the US election, FiveThirtyEight—the gold standard of election forecasting sites, run by the esteemed data journalist Nate Silver—confidently predicted a comfortable Biden victory, with the former vice president expected to pick up 348 electoral college votes to Trump’s 190. In reality, the Biden/Harris ticket received only 306 votes—enough to win the White House, but a remarkable distance off from Silver’s prediction.
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